44% on ARC-AGI-1 in 67 cents

(mvakde.github.io)

70 points | by porridgeraisin 1 hour ago

7 comments

  • evilmathkid 13 minutes ago
    Hi! Author here. Surprised to see this on HN now. Happy to answer any questions!

    Some context about this:

    - This is NOT an LLM. its a small ar transformer trained from scratch. One of the points was that extremely complex problems can be tackled without LLMs

    - Till the v1 of this result, this benchmark was only scaled by LLMs or their finetunes (ofc w enormous training costs). Other attempts performed okayish but used v complex architectures or extremely high amounts of training compute. No one expected a simple AR transformer to perform this well, at this low cost and w these few training samples.

    - Sample Efficiency is one of the most important unsolved problems today in AI. That's what I was targetting with this work. We know it is easy to increase SE by increasing compute/params, so it was important to constrain cost as much as possible (also why OpenAI's Parameter Golf had fixed compute and why Modded NanoGPT is considered very sample efficient)

    - Can the perf be improved? Yes but the competition is ongoing so can't talk about it

    - Personally I think today's frontier models can be beat by training from scratch. Haven't proved this yet tho

    - Fun: I was new to ML when I posted this first (dec '25). I basically used ARC as a way to learn ML

    • kuczmama 7 minutes ago
      Hey thanks for sharing this. Was curious did you find the more you trained the model the more perf improved, or did it start plateauing. For example, let's say you didn't spend 67 cents, but you spent 67 dollars do you think you would get major benefits from that?
  • xeonax 1 hour ago
    Even cooler is his about me mention of saving his own life https://mvakde.github.io/ > Saved myself in a medical emergency (doctors didn't know what rhabdomyolysis was)
    • qlm 33 minutes ago
      Crazy, considering rhabdo isn't that rare.
      • p-e-w 26 minutes ago
        “What do you call a medical student who graduated at the bottom of their class?”

        “Doctor.”

  • kvn95ss 13 minutes ago
    > Also, I’m not sure whether “general reasoning” even exists in the first place? Maybe humans are specialised too

    I have been wondering the same. We are now exposed to so many stimuli, we are tricked into thinking this is the norm - to have a reasonable understanding about everything, unless specialization is called for.

  • pwmglenn 26 minutes ago
    Really impressive and creative research. I wonder if the leading labs do anything similar with their models? It doenst look like the open source labs do?
  • eis 57 minutes ago
    > Increases in LLM scores are now mainly driven by post training (evidence in next section) and are probably a function of amount of synthetic data. They are learning to solve ARC tasks, not learn general abstract reasoning

    Agreed and that's for any benchmark. Private tests are better but you still have to trust the provider to not log and use them for training.

    That's why I like when a new set of tests like a new ARC-AGI version is published, that's where you can see which of the models abstracted to more general capabilities instead of being focused on the previous tasks. Most models completely fail new ARC-AGI tests.

    The "67 cents" part though is misleading imho. You can't extrapolate from there and think that investing say $100 will get you a lot better results. You hit a ceiling very fast and investing into more compute will give you diminishing results. So yes, you can train a custom model to do somewhat decently on a specific set of tasks but then what?

    • bkaae 45 minutes ago
      Then nothing - that's awesome. People think that LLMs are the know-all do-all solution to every problem now.

      Putting solutions in terms of cents is a great way to potentially win over some ai boosters imo. There are other ways to solve hard problems.

  • embedding-shape 1 hour ago
    Is the author only running their model against one benchmark? I don't think anyone finds that difficult to achieve, the difficulty comes when you want to make the model not benchmaxxed to a specific benchmark, and generalize so it can solve problems not part of the training data, but seems this model is specifically for not this? How useful is that?

    If you just wanted to pass these specific tasks in this specific benchmark, and wanted to do so cheaply, I'm sure a non-LLM-based approach would yield better results for even cheaper, since what the author's model does, seem to basically be "solve ARC puzzles", not a general LLM or "coding" LLM.

    • bkaae 47 minutes ago
      I read this as a response to the current hype around LLMs. He is showing computers can solve these issues, without using an LLM architecture. A lot of people have sort of forgot that machine learning is more than just LLMs these days.

      I found it to be a very interesting angle.

      • embedding-shape 42 minutes ago
        > He is showing computers can solve these issues, without using an LLM architecture.

        Isn't it a LLM he's building though? My very point is that this particular use case could be solved better without building a LLM, now you claim he is not? The description of what he's doing surely makes it sound like it's a (very small) LLM, and personally I'm still on the "if it quacks like a duck" train in life.

        > A lot of people have sort of forgot that machine learning is more than just LLMs these days.

        Yeah, which I guess if you make my previous comment more concise, is exactly what I state too.

        • dakolli 16 minutes ago
          Nowhere does he say he built an llm. Hes using a transformer, not an llm.
          • embedding-shape 12 minutes ago
            > Nowhere does he say he built an llm. Hes using a transformer, not an llm.

            Please describe what in your mind a "LLM" is exactly, then describe what this person is building. To me this sounds like "He's not building a calculator, he's just building a program that can do addition, minus, multiplication and division and display the results".

            Obviously it's not a Large Language Model, but to me this looks more like a LLM than not, given the architecture he's chosen. But again, maybe I misunderstand?

            • evilmathkid 5 minutes ago
              Its not an LLM if there's no pretraining. AR transformers were around before LLMs and will be there after LLMs.

              When I made this, the point was to show that you dont need pretraining (which is what makes an LLM) to perform well on complex tasks

              And yes it is not a language model either. I did not train it on any language data. Only ARC puzzles

    • f311a 50 minutes ago
      The whole point of his model is to optimize for a very specific benchmark.

      BUT, he does not use labels when training, so the model does not know the answers.

      • embedding-shape 41 minutes ago
        > The whole point of his model is to optimize for a very specific benchmark.

        But benchmaxxing is what we generally try to avoid for training, as there is no point really for it. We used to call it "overfitting", now you're saying this person does it intentionally? Why?

        • K0balt 18 minutes ago
          There are plenty of applications where a machine learning system needs to optimize for a very limited data set that is still intractable by linear logic systems of reasonable scale and complexity. It’s interesting, because he is using the legos of LLMs to build highly specialized machine learning systems, which is a very pragmatic approach. Obviously a lot of other ways to achieve similar goals, but it’s cool to see someone back porting the modern tools towards older style optimizations.

          Also, the complexity of the task he is using occupies an interesting middle ground of ultra high dimensionality (for a “simple” problem) while being limited in width to a narrow set of solves- a space where one would be tempted to imagine you would need a much more capable system.

        • f311a 35 minutes ago
          Why not? There is $700k reward for the next iteration of this benchmark https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/arc-prize-2026-arc-agi-2...

          I would not call this overfitting, it's finetuning for specific task where you have a benchmark.

  • larodi 30 minutes ago
    "I don’t understand why others didn’t figure this out"

    - how about we allot the possibility that so many of presumed ML experts don't have any clue what they be doing, and are eventually API bitches, nothing more.